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Obama, Clinton woo Philadelphia suburbanites
Comments 0 | Recommend 0ARDMORE, Pa. - The farmer's market features a winery and a
gourmet cheese stand, the local cricket club is thriving and some of the front
lawns in this old-money suburban enclave look like the entrance to a national
park.
If Barack Obama has any chance of beating Hillary Clinton in
this state's Democratic primary April 22, and a poll released Tuesday shows he
is steadily narrowing her lead to single digits, he's going to have to charm
voters, especially women, in and around the Philadelphia
suburbs they call the Main Line.
In this haven of old money and high society, Obama and Clinton
are fervently wooing the economically conservative but socially liberal voters,
many of whom are disenchanted with Republican politics once so dominant in this
land of stately homes and private clubs.
"They're the classic brie-and-Chablis voters," said G. Terry
Madonna, professor of public affairs and director of the Franklin & Marshall College Poll.
"They're upscale, college-educated, very successful people who tend to be very liberal
on cultural issues," Madonna said. "They're the types of voters who, 20 years
ago, were Republican, and they moved away from the Republican Party partly
because of its swing to the right."
They're also the type of Democrats whom Obama has been attracting
in earlier primary states, and who now offer him an opportunity to cut into the
advantage Clinton holds over him with rural,
blue-collar and senior voters elsewhere in Pennsylvania.
The contest for Pennsylvania,
once considered firmly in Clinton's corner, has
closed to within six percentage points, with Obama now trailing the New York senator 50 percent to 44 percent in the Keystone State,
according to a new Quinnipiac
University poll. It also
shows the Illinois
senator closing the gap among women and widening his lead among blacks in the
state.
Yet Clinton can lay legitimate
claim to the Main Line territory too, with its
wealth of professional women who have made their way much the same way she has.
Women have been the sturdy pillar of her candidacy, sustaining her especially
in Rust Belt states like Pennsylvania.
The Main Line communities, home also to some of the better
known liberal arts colleges, and their surrounding towns are a battleground in
the Democratic primary, a target area in a state that could validate or break Clinton's argument that
she is the candidate who can win large battleground states in the fall.
Though Republican roots in the area are strong, it's not hard
to find Main Line voters who are trying to
choose between Clinton and Obama.
In the sunny atrium of an indoor farmer's market in Ardmore the other day,
Mike and Milca Lilian amicably disagreed about their choices.
Mike Lilian, an anesthesiologist from nearby Bala Cynwyd, has
voted for candidates of both parties in the past but likes Clinton this time around because she seems
"wily."
His wife couldn't say exactly why she leans toward Obama,
except to say "he's charismatic, dynamic" in a way she thinks might improve the
country.
"He seems a little naive, don't you think?" her husband asked.
"He has so much less experience in foreign policy."
"But don't you think it's about judgment too?" she replied.
"He was against the war from the beginning."
Both voters say they have been open to Republican candidates
in the past but now are concerned about issues the Democrats are talking most
about.
The effort to appeal to those sensibilities has been intense.
Obama has poured at least $2 million into television advertising with a
concentration on the Philadelphia market -
likely four times the significant amount Clinton
has spent.
Both campaigns poured on the steam to sign up voters for this
month's primary, registering upwards of 15,000, by the local party's count, in Montgomery County,
which encompasses the Main Line and other
populous suburbs.
The candidates have campaigned in the region and sent
high-level surrogates to speak for them at meetings of local Democrats. On
Thursday, for example, Clinton
dispatched Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell with her daughter, Chelsea Clinton, to
schmooze Montgomery County Democrats at their spring reception. Sen. Edward
Kennedy, D-Mass., spoke for Obama and stayed for pictures and handshakes as
local Democrats mingled over wine and cheese.
The Clinton team is optimistic
about its chances in the area even though these voters make up a slice of the
electorate that differentiates Pennsylvania
from Ohio, a heavily blue-collar state where Clinton went over so well
with primary voters.
"We're different than Ohio,"
Rendell said, referring to the affluence of the suburbs and other areas,
"because there are certain sections of the state that are just off the chart
economically."
Many voters in the area remember the Clinton administration fondly, he thinks.
"When Barack Obama says we don't want to go back to the ‘90s, you get a lot of
people in this area who raise their hands and say, ‘Well, we do,'" said
Rendell, a former Philadelphia
mayor. "The ‘90s were awfully good to a lot of people here."
But Sen. Robert Casey Jr., D-Pa., thinks Obama is competitive
in the suburbs, partly because voters there may be less driven by economic
anxiety than about the war in Iraq.
Obama opposed the war from the start, while Clinton voted to authorize the president to
go to war before becoming a war opponent. Both candidates propose an expeditious
withdrawal of American combat troops from Iraq.
"Just by definition, when people have more money in their
pocket, they're not focused on the same thing," said Casey, who backs Obama.
"It's possible the war will be a bigger issue, and possible that issues like
the environment and climate change are bigger issues."
Ironically enough, it's likely not Casey's political formula
Obama needs to replicate to win Pennsylvania
but rather Rendell's. When the two faced off in the governor's race six years
back, Rendell was the liberal candidate who won just a handful of the state's
most densely populated counties, with Philadelphia
and the suburbs a core constituency.
Obama can't lose the suburbs and win Pennsylvania, Madonna said.
"Rendell's voters are his voters," he said. "The Democratic
Party is losing blue-collar workers and becoming the party of minorities and
liberal upscale voters who intellectually feel much closer to the Democrats
than to the Republicans."
Many of those people live in the communities along the old Main Line of the Pennsylvania Railroad.
Not surprisingly, Republicans dominated local politics until
the 1990s and are still strong. Yet many voters said they feel more drawn to
Democrats these days. In particular, suburban women have been an important
swing group in past elections, Madonna said, critical to the general election
fortunes of the eventual nominees.
Not all of those voters are wealthy. Over the years, the
townships of the Main Line have developed a
thriving middle class, and they make up an important part of the suburban vote.
"Hillary Clinton has so much more experience," said Maxine
Halpern, who moved with her husband from Philadelphia
to Wynnewood 37 years ago in search of better schools for their two sons.
"Obama came up very quickly, and he really needs to gain some experience."
"I like that he's straightforward," she said, "but I like her
record on health care, which is such an important issue."
Her daughter-in-law, Meryl Halpern, also is leaning toward Clinton.
"I've known Hillary so much longer, and she's always been so
together," said Meryl Halpern, an international student adviser at a local
university. "The fact that she's a woman doesn't hurt."
The Rendell recommendation is helpful too, she said.
"I love, love, love Gov. Rendell," she said. "He was just so
good for Philadelphia and now for Pennsylvania, a real
hands-on politician."
Still, she finds Obama's demeanor appealing, because he
doesn't seem like "a slimy politician."
"But both candidates are great," she said, "so it's a no-lose
situation."






